> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://goodoil.news/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # Roy Morgan Poll: Steady as She Goes - URL: https://goodoil.news/roy-morgan-poll-steady-as-she-goes/ - Published: 2024-07-03T20:00:00.000Z - Updated: 2024-07-03T19:57:31.000Z - Author: Cam Slater - Tags: NZ, NZ Politics, Politics, #wp, #wp-post, #Import 2024-07-20 04:39 The latest Roy Morgan Poll is out and it is [a ‘steady as she goes’ poll](https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9623-nz-national-voting-intention-june-2024?utm%5Fmedium=email&utm%5Fcampaign=MRU%202nd%20July%202024&utm%5Fcontent=MRU%202nd%20July%202024+CID%5F0bd53f2af43ea8685ce30ff07e620a19&utm%5Fsource=Market%20Research%20Update&utm%5Fterm=Read%20Full%20Article), with a slight gain for National and a slight drop for Labour. > Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for June 2024 shows **support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) has increased marginally in June, up 1% point to 49.5% with a small lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition on 45.5% (down 2.5% points).** > > For the National-led Government support for **National increased 1.5% points to 35%**, support for **ACT decreased 0.5% points to 9.5%** while support for **NZ First was again unchanged at 5.5%.** > > For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for **Labour was down 2.5% points to 27.5%**, support for the **Greens was up 0.5% points to 14.5%** and support for the **Maori Party was up 0.5% points to 3.5%.** > > Roy Morgan What does that mean for seats? > The survey results for June would lead to **62 seats (down six seats from the election) being won by the current National/ ACT/ NZ First governing coalition compared to 58 seats (up three seats) for the Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party Opposition.** > > For the governing coalition **National’s support would win 44 seats (down five seats)**, support for ACT would equal 11 seats (unchanged) and NZ First would win seven seats (down one seat). > > For the three Opposition parties **Labour’s support would secure 35 seats (up one seat)**, **Greens support would mean 18 seats (up three seats)** and the Maori Party would win five seats (down one seat). > > Roy Morgan National should be polling at well above the level they are at now. The problem appears in the demographics. > On an overall basis, **men heavily favour the National/ACT/NZ First coalition government on 56.5%**, almost **double the opposition Labour/Greens/Maori Party on only 38.5% – a gap of 18% points.** > > In contrast, **a majority of women are behind the opposition Labour/Greens/Maori on 51% – ahead of the governing National/ACT/NZ First on 43.5% – a gap of 7.5% points.** > > Support for the governing coalition is strongest for older men. **For men aged 50+ there are a massive 66% supporting National/ACT/NZ First more than double the 31% supporting the Labour/Greens/Maori Party**. Support for the governing parties; National (41.5%), ACT (15.5%) and NZ First (9%) is stronger amongst this demographic than any other age or gender group analysed. > > For younger men aged 18–49 there is a slight edge for the governing coalition with 47% supporting National/ACT/NZ First compared to 46% that support the Opposition Labour/ Greens/ Maori Party – a gap of only 1% point. > > **Women aged 50+ also narrowly favour the governing National/ACT/NZ First coalition on 49%, just ahead of the Opposition Labour/Greens/Maori Party on 47.5% – a gap of only 1.5% points.** Support for Labour is clearly strongest amongst this age group with the support of 33.5%. > > **Younger women aged 18–49 are the biggest supporters of the Opposition Labour/Greens/Maori Party on 55% and well ahead of the governing National/ACT/NZ First coalition on 38% – a gap of 17% points.** > > Support for the Greens is strongest amongst the younger age groups with 23.5% of young men aged 18–49 supporting the party and 19.5% of young women aged 18–49 supporting the party. > > Roy Morgan National appears to have a woman problem, and it isn’t one that can be fixed with quotas. A brave person would suggest that women are letting down their husbands by voting for Labour and the Greens despite any semblance of competence; meaning they vote on ‘feelz’. That is hard to address, short of selecting vacuous, arm-flapping dolts who achieve little to nothing but have great bumper sticker slogans. --- [Like What You’ve Read? Become a Member and Directly Support this Author](https://thebfd.co.nz/subscription-plans/?aff=whaleoil&ref=goodoil.news) **Please share this article so others can discover *The BFD.***