> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://goodoil.news/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # Your Daily Ten@10 - 2026/184 - URL: https://goodoil.news/your-daily-ten-10-2026-184/ - Published: 2026-10-05T21:00:29.000Z - Updated: 2026-10-05T21:00:30.000Z - Description: 10 News Stories They Chose Not to Tell You - Author: Cam Slater - Tags: Ten@10, NZ Politics, Election 2026, Supermarkets, Lobbying, Polling, Gender, Fiscal Policy, France, Media, Israel, Gaza, BBC, AI **This is edition 2026/184 of the *Ten@10* newsletter.** Hi all, This is the Ten@10, where I collate and summarise ten news items you generally won't see in the mainstream media. Enjoy! --- ![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QXAi!,w_1200,h_675,c_fill,f_jpg,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbef08426-f941-4d17-856e-b5aa4edd6946_2278x1362.png) ## 1\. Democracy Briefing: The supermarket duopoly fights back *Bryce Edwards - The Democracy Project* - ✍️ A week after National said it would pursue separating Foodstuffs, 51 business figures signed an open letter asking every party "to uphold a rules-based economy that respects private property and freedom of contract". - 🏒 Edwards says the letter was organised by the New Zealand Initiative, whose members include Foodstuffs North Island and Woolworths NZ, and whose board includes Foodstuffs North Island chief executive Chris Quin. Quin signed it, as did Foodstuffs South Island chief executive Mary Devine. - πŸ’° The Post's Anneke Smith reported that since the supermarket announcement National has taken just $52,000 in declared donations of $20,000 or more, while Act has taken $275,000\. David Seymour says he has heard "vociferous reactions" from significant National donors. - πŸ“£ Newsroom's Andrew Bevin found Foodstuffs has an eight-person in-house communications team and also uses Thompson Lewis and Sherson Willis. Thompson Lewis links run to Helen Clark, Jacinda Ardern and John Key's offices, plus a former Nicola Willis adviser. - πŸ” Sherson Willis founder Trish Sherson previously headed communications for Act. In July it hired Andrew Ketels, David Seymour's chief of staff from 2020 to 2025, as head of government relations. Edwards notes Ketels' Herald column against interventionist policy states his Sherson Willis role but not that the firm works for Foodstuffs North Island. - πŸ›’ Woolworths' advisers include Lillis Clark, whose directors worked for Steven Joyce, and its head of government relations Andrew Kirton, a former Labour general secretary and Chris Hipkins' chief of staff. Joyce himself now sits on the Foodstuffs North Island board and chairs NZME. - πŸ›οΈ BusinessNZ chief executive Katherine Rich, a former National MP and former head of the Food and Grocery Council, is opposing the break-up. Edwards stresses none of these connections is evidence of wrongdoing. - πŸ” His point is that New Zealand still has no comprehensive lobbying register. He recalls the Commerce Commission's 2021 draft contemplating structural separation of wholesale and retail, which was gone by the final report in March 2022, after lobbying that included a January 2022 dinner Kirton arranged between Grant Robertson and Countdown's managing director. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway (free preview, then a paywall): Edwards says there is no smoking gun that lobbying killed separation last time, but the system makes influence almost impossible to see. Paid sections he lists include whether this is just anti-business populism and the think tank leading the counteroffensive. [Read More](https://www.democracyproject.org.nz/p/democracy-briefing-the-supermarket-4db?ref=goodoil.news) --- ![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BMwo!,w_1200,h_675,c_fill,f_jpg,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7964944d-da03-487c-8cf4-17b1948d19d4_896x448.jpeg) ## 2\. The Overhang 2.8 - Poll Dancing *rustie - The Overhang* - πŸ“Š Part one of a series on how The Overhang forecasts New Zealand elections, starting with polling, which it calls the core of the engine. - 🀝 Only 15 per cent of New Zealanders say they trust pollsters, against 27 per cent who distrust them. That net minus 12 still beats politicians at minus 41. - 🎯 Averaged across firms, years and parties, final polls have been out by 1.3 percentage points per party against the result. The average of the polls has beaten the average single poll in nine of ten MMP elections. - βš–οΈ House effects: relative to the consensus, Roy Morgan shows the minors (especially the Greens) higher and the majors (especially Labour) lower. Reid Research and Talbot Mills tend to overstate Labour, and Verian tends to overstate National. - πŸ“ˆ Over the last 100 days of a campaign the majors move an average of plus or minus 3 points (up to 9 in extreme cases) and the minors plus or minus 2 (up to 6). Even 41 days out, late swing averages 1.4 points for the majors and 1 for the minors, usually toward the minors. - ❗ Against the election-day polling average, National has done 1.5 points worse on average and the Greens 1 point worse. Labour has averaged 0.3 better with wide swings, NZ First 0.4 better, and "Others" about 1 point better. - 🎲 The model adjusts for house effects, weights by recency and sample size, projects to election day with a volatility term, and runs 20,000 Monte Carlo simulations. - ✈️ Three unknowns worry the author: about 350,000 people, mostly younger, have left since 2023; enrolment changes stop people enrolling during early voting and casting special votes, which tend to favour the left; and tactical vote-splitting for an overhang. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway: trust reputable polls in aggregate and think in probabilities, but stay humble. The author lists three reasons the forecast might be wrong "and many others". [Read More](https://theoverhangaonz.substack.com/p/the-overhang-28-poll-dancing) --- ![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/7b14b8_c6a1be880ec143f7ae0ecebfd9a4b726~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_189,h_195,al_c,lg_1,q_85/7b14b8_c6a1be880ec143f7ae0ecebfd9a4b726~mv2.png) ## 3\. RODNEY HIDE: You wanted names. Here they are, lanyards and all *Rodney Hide - Brash & Mitchell* - πŸ“ After a reader demanded he "name these corporate numpties", Hide names who signed three corporate submissions against NZ First MP Jenny Marcroft's bill defining "woman" as "an adult human biological female" and "man" as "an adult human biological male". - πŸ—οΈ Fletcher Building's submission lists Wendi Bains and Sean Park. It warns that environments "perceived as exclusionary, inconsistent, or uncertain" raise attrition risk, and that a legal definition would remove the effectiveness of its Gender Affirmation Leave and Transitioning at Work Guidelines. - 🦺 Hide reads that as safety work growing a second head called psychosocial risk, where even a dictionary goes on the hazard register and company policy outranks the law. - πŸ‘ Silver Fern Farms' submission came from its Rainbow Community "with the endorsement of Silver Fern Farms Limited", signed by chief executive Dan Boulton and chief people officer Matt Carter. It says the bill is "not clarification; it is erasure". - 🌾 Hide notes Silver Fern Farms is owned 50:50 by farmers through its co-operative and by Shanghai's Bright Meat Group, and wonders whether either owner wanted it lobbying Parliament on the meaning of "woman". - ⚑ Orion's submission, for Orion and Connetics, is signed by policy lead Vivienne Wilson. It opposes the bill because it does not align with Orion's core values and warns of "legal and administrative chaos". - πŸ›οΈ Orion's own submission says it is 89.3 per cent owned by Christchurch City Council (via Christchurch City Holdings) and 10.7 per cent by Selwyn District Council. Hide asks whether councillors, or ratepayers, were consulted. - πŸ”€ None of the three offers its own definition of a woman, he says. Their vocabulary is "perceived", "signals" and "lived" rather than what is true. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway: Hide urges Fletcher shareholders, Silver Fern's farmer co-op members and Christchurch and Selwyn ratepayers to ask who decided their company should have a view on this. [Read More](https://www.brashandmitchell.com/post/rodney-hide-you-wanted-names-here-they-are-lanyards-and-all?ref=goodoil.news) --- ![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/7b14b8_6a8b6e67a31b4feb8b1c60d8cae0a2b6~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_416,h_237,al_c,lg_1,q_80/7b14b8_6a8b6e67a31b4feb8b1c60d8cae0a2b6~mv2.jpg) ## 4\. RICHARD PREBBLE - The First Turning Point: TOP Commits Suicide *Richard Prebble - Brash & Mitchell* - πŸ”„ Prebble says the election has had one of its turning points. Every campaign has them, often a statement that alienates possible voters or the party's own activists. - βš–οΈ Parties run two campaigns, he writes: one to motivate supporters to donate and volunteer, one to attract voters. One without the other does not work. - 🀐 That, he says, is why none of the leaders in the Kingmaker debate would spell out their bottom lines: anything they said would alienate supporters or potential voters. - πŸ“‰ From his own experience: in 1999, when he said he supported privatisation, ACT members loved it, voters who saw the railways as an asset hated it, and ACT dropped 3 per cent in the next poll. - 🏑 He bets his parliamentary super that TOP members joined for a land tax and a guaranteed income, and not one joined for what are now the party's five bottom lines. - 🐟 He recalls TOP's support collapsing at the previous election when voters realised it wanted to get rid of "Moggie", and jokes that its bottom line is now protecting Nemo. If banning trawling in the Pacific is your priority, he says, you would vote Green. - πŸ“Š He calls Qiulae Wong's five points a suicide note that signals she will sell out flagship policies and deal with anyone. He puts her fourth in Mt Albert on 10 per cent, and TOP at 6 per cent, below 5 in another recent poll. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway: Prebble says the five bottom lines will sink TOP before a vote is cast. A short column, readable in full. [Read More](https://www.brashandmitchell.com/post/richard-prebble-the-first-turning-point-top-commits-suicide?ref=goodoil.news) --- ![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!81x1!,w_1200,h_675,c_fill,f_jpg,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3748da84-baaf-44aa-bb55-2bacc95cb6c4_1550x734.png) ## 5\. Democracy Briefing: Labour’s austerity problem *Bryce Edwards - The Democracy Project* - πŸ—£οΈ For three years Labour has campaigned against coalition cuts. Barbara Edmonds called recent public service savings "disgusting and cruel because they're arbitrary", and Chris Hipkins wrote that "Cuts cost jobs, weaken services, and make the economy smaller". - ❓ As recently as Monday, campaign chair Kieran McAnulty demanded to know "which schools, hospitals, roads or public services will National cut to make its promises stack up?" - πŸ“‘ Edwards says Sunday's fiscal plan adopts Nicola Willis' settings almost wholesale: her $2.4 billion annual operating allowance, her 2028/29 surplus year, and a debt track that barely differs. - πŸ“Š By 2030/31 Labour plans core Crown spending of about 30.4 per cent of GDP, against National's 29.8 per cent. RNZ says the two are "largely on the same track", and Cameron Bagrie says "they're all pretty well the same". - πŸ”„ Six weeks earlier, Edwards writes, Labour seemed ready to argue for a larger state. Now it plans to govern with Willis' allowance while public spending keeps falling as a share of GDP. - πŸ“° He accepts The Post's point that total Crown spending has kept rising in dollars, so "austerity" is disputed. But inflation, population growth and demand mean more dollars do not necessarily buy better services, and Treasury expects spending to fall sharply as a share of GDP. - πŸ’‘ Thomas Coughlan notes Treasury's last estimate that about $2.5 billion a year is needed just to maintain current services. Both parties sit at $2.4 billion, "already slightly lower than what is needed to keep the proverbial lights on". - 🏫 Coughlan sees little room beyond health and pay equity, with education, police, Corrections, defence, RNZ, and arts and sport funding exposed. Edwards calls it a remarkably austere outcome for a party campaigning against austerity. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway (free preview, then a paywall): the free text ends on the question "So what is Labour going to cut?" Paid sections he lists include the vanished fiscal difference and how "fully funded" works. [Read More](https://www.democracyproject.org.nz/p/democracy-briefing-labours-austerity?ref=goodoil.news) --- ![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e5hf!,w_1200,h_675,c_fill,f_jpg,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb893c6da-60b0-4bfd-aa0b-695501bb613a_8256x5504.jpeg) ## 6\. Fake News On French Riots Rips Away FaΓ§ade That The Media Ever Cared About β€œReal-World Harm” *Michael Shellenberger - Public* - πŸ“° The dek says reporters spent ten years demanding censorship of right-wing populists and are now promoting the left-wing misinformation driving French street violence. - πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Shellenberger recalls a 2019 House Judiciary hearing where the New York Democrat chairing it said white nationalism online had real consequences and "Americans have died because of it". - πŸ›οΈ After the 2022 Buffalo shooting, New York's attorney general asked Congress to tie platforms' legal immunity to how they policed such content. - πŸŽ™οΈ He cites a live microphone at a UN luncheon catching Angela Merkel pressing Mark Zuckerberg about anti-immigrant posts during the 2015 migrant wave. Eight months later, he writes, Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and Microsoft agreed to review flagged hate speech within 24 hours. - πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Over the following years, he says, the European Commission secretly dictated censorship terms to the platforms, something Americans only discovered this year. - πŸ—žοΈ He quotes a 2018 New York Times headline, "Facebook Fueled Anti-Refugee Attacks in Germany", and Keir Starmer telling platforms after the 2024 Southport riots, "It's happening on your premises." - ⚠️ His pivot: when courts, prosecutors and legislatures trace violence to social media, he says, the trail often leads to Islamists and the radical left. - πŸ”’ The free text stops there. The French riot evidence the headline promises is behind the paywall. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway (thin free preview): the readable part is the history of "real-world harm" arguments for censoring the right. The French case itself is for paid subscribers. [Read More](https://www.public.news/p/fake-news-on-french-riots-rips-away?ref=goodoil.news) --- ![](https://www.spectator.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/GettyImages_1674265333.jpg) ## 7\. The truth about Gazan β€˜journalists’ *Jonathan Sacerdoti - The Spectator Australia* - πŸ“‚ Sacerdoti says the IDF this week published what it calls the Press Files: names, photographs and roles of 170 people killed in the war who were presented as journalists or media workers and were also, it says, terrorist operatives. - πŸ”’ By the IDF's count, 118 belonged to Hamas's military wing, 49 to Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and the rest to smaller factions. Seventeen crossed into Israel on 7 October 2023, and more than 40 of the deaths drew formal UN condemnation. - πŸ“„ The list was built over months from documents and rosters recovered in Gaza, much of it the groups' own paperwork. Some named, according to the IDF, had worked for Reuters, CNN, the BBC, AP, AFP, Le Monde and ABC Australia. - πŸ“Ί Examples he gives from the IDF material: Al Jazeera's Anas al-Sharif listed as a company-level officer in a Hamas artillery company; Hossam Shabat as an anti-tank operative; Ismail al-Ghoul on a Hamas roster; and Hamza al-Dahdouh in an Islamic Jihad electronic engineering unit. - πŸŽ₯ Hassan Aslih, whose work ran through AP and CNN before both cut ties in November 2023, appears on a Khan Younis Brigade roster, and the IDF says he infiltrated Israel on 7 October. - βš–οΈ Sacerdoti says not every profile carries the same weight of evidence, each case deserves scrutiny, and not every journalist killed in Gaza was a combatant. - πŸŽ™οΈ He cites Motaz Azaiza's three-hour Arabic interview on the Taqarob podcast: journalists lowering cameras when residents cursed Hamas, a WhatsApp group called "Smart" run by a Hamas media official, and his admission that he filmed hostages being beaten on 7 October and chose not to publish. - πŸšͺ On Piers Morgan's demand that Israel "let the journalists in", he points to the 2006 kidnapping of Fox News' Steve Centanni and Olaf Wiig, and the BBC's Alan Johnston held for 114 days in 2007, as reasons access is a difficult strategic choice. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway: the lesson of the Press Files, he says, is not to trust Israel blindly, but that in Gaza the line between reporter and terrorist was deliberately blurred, and western media were incurious. [Read More](https://www.spectator.com.au/2026/10/the-truth-about-gazan-journalists/?ref=goodoil.news) --- ![](https://www.spiked-online.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/AI-beijing-1536x864.jpg) ## 8\. What everyone gets wrong about AI *Norman Lewis - spiked* - 🚨 Lewis starts from a Financial Times report that an OpenAI "agent" hacked an Australian government health-service website and went undetected for months, fuelling fears AI is breaking free of human control. - 🧩 He calls the breach serious, but notes the FT itself describes agents as bots performing complex tasks "based on human instructions". That, he says, is human agency, or stupidity, poor engineering and weak security, not machines escaping control. - πŸ—£οΈ His target is anthropomorphic language: "thinks", "reasons", "learns", "hallucinates", "goals". Citing Emily Bender and Nanna Inie, he says a hallucination is an "unsupported output" and goals are "success conditions" set by engineers. - πŸ“œ The 1955 Dartmouth proposal by McCarthy, Minsky, Rochester and Shannon spoke of machines that could simulate learning and intelligence. Lewis says the word "simulate" has since faded from the field's vocabulary. - πŸ€– Turing's 1950 paper swapped "Can machines think?" for an imitation test, and Joseph Weizenbaum's ELIZA showed how readily people attribute understanding to simulated conversation. - πŸ“ˆ From IJ Good's 1965 "ultraintelligent machine" to Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence, he says better task performance has been relabelled intelligence, then cited as proof that intelligence exists. - 🚀 On "AI cheats" headlines, he uses the CoastRunners boat-race experiment, where an agent maximised its score by circling to collect rewards and never finished. That is reward hacking, he says, not a naughty machine. - πŸ’Ό Semantic inflation has commercial value, Lewis argues, so hype and panic feed each other, and he invokes Orwell's warning that bad language makes bad thinking easier. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway: the real danger, Lewis says, is not that machines have become human but that we talk as though human agency and responsibility are already secondary to them. [Read More](https://www.spiked-online.com/2026/10/04/what-everyone-gets-wrong-about-ai/?ref=goodoil.news) --- ![](https://www.spiked-online.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/gaza-1536x864.jpg) ## 9\. Why does the BBC refer to dead terrorists as β€˜journalists’? *Andrew Fox - spiked* - πŸ“Ί Fox cites a Telegraph report that 53 people killed in Gaza whom the BBC described as journalists were Hamas terrorists. Most obituaries ran on BBC Arabic, and 10 appeared in English coverage. - πŸŽ₯ Among them was Abdullah Darwish, an Al-Aqsa TV cameraman Fox says was also a Hamas fighter in the 7 October attacks. - πŸ›‘οΈ The BBC says its reports were "based on the information available to it at the time". Fox replies that the Committee to Protect Journalists had already removed Darwish and Rizq Abu Shakian from its database as combatants before the Telegraph story. - 🎭 He argues Hamas deliberately blurs journalist and combatant roles so any death can be framed as Israel targeting the press, and the BBC falls for it nearly every time. - πŸ“Š A December 2025 Meir Amit Intelligence and Terrorism Information Centre study found terrorist affiliations in 157 of 266 reported journalist and media-worker deaths, about 59 per cent. Fox notes it counted factional media employment, so not all 157 were fighters. - 🎬 He cites the documentary Gaza: How to Survive a Warzone, whose child narrator's father was a deputy agriculture minister in the Hamas-run administration. Ofcom found that omission materially misled audiences. - πŸ₯ Earlier failures he lists: Jeremy Bowen blaming Israel for the October 2023 Al-Ahli hospital blast, which Fox says was a misfired Islamic Jihad rocket, and a BBC apology over claims Israeli troops were "targeting" medical teams at Al-Shifa. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway: Fox wants senior editors to account publicly for the sources they trusted across BBC Arabic and English output, and says failures this serious should cost careers. [Read More](https://www.spiked-online.com/2026/10/01/why-does-the-bbc-refer-to-dead-terrorists-as-journalists/?ref=goodoil.news) --- ![](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gp1e!,w_1200,h_675,c_fill,f_jpg,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep,g_auto/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F0459cd2c-91d4-4388-b035-4603e2500c59_5657x3771.jpeg) ## 10\. The Man Who Raised the Alarm Before October 7 *Jay Solomon - The Free Press* - ⚠️ On 31 August 2023, Yigal Carmon, founder of the Middle East Media Research Institute (MEMRI), published a warning on MEMRI's website headlined "Signs of Possible War", pointing to September and October. - πŸ‘€ Carmon, now 80, was a counterterrorism adviser to Israeli prime ministers Yitzhak Shamir and Yitzhak Rabin. - πŸ”Ž He did not predict that Hamas specifically would start the war, or that it would begin on the Gaza border. But he flagged rising threats of a major operation from militant leaders that MEMRI monitors in Arabic- and Persian-language media. - πŸš€ His warning said Hamas, Hezbollah, Palestinian Islamic Jihad and other Iranian-backed proxies were deploying increasingly sophisticated weapons and tactics that "can cause a large number of Israeli fatalities". - πŸ”• Solomon writes that the warning caused little reaction in Jerusalem or Washington. The week before the attack, Jake Sullivan said the Middle East was "quieter today than it has been in two decades". - πŸ“‘ The dek says Carmon now sets out the missed signs in a new report, in more detail than ever. - πŸ”’ The free preview ends there, behind The Free Press paywall. - πŸ’‘ Takeaway (thin free preview): what you can read is Carmon's pre-attack warning and the official complacency. The new report's detail is for subscribers. [Read More](https://www.thefp.com/p/yigal-carmon-october-7-warning-memri?ref=goodoil.news) --- ## What our members are saying about Ten@10 **Elizabeth** These articles are compulsory reading for me and the perfect addition to the usual list of Goodoil items! **Lynne** Absolutely brilliant to receive these current and thought provoking articles. **Jonathan** Just wanted to let you know that I’m loving this new 10@10\. Much appreciated from someone who chooses to read/watch almost NO mainstream media. **Murray** Cam, relish your output as the newspaper in Christchurch is so intent on non news. Thankyou **Fred** Thanks for Ten @ Ten, really enjoy reading it.Keep it up. All the best, keep healthy. **Jocko** Wonderful info not otherwise available in NZ. More power to your elbow! Thanks.