The latest Taxpayers’ Union/Curia poll shows a slump in support for Labour Party and a rise in support for the Coalition Government. It also appears that Christopher Luxon has substantially improved his preferred PM poll ratings.
National is up 2.2 points on last month to 37.6% while Labour drops 3.5 points to 25.9%. The Greens are relatively static on 12.5% (-0.2 points) while ACT drops marginally to 9.1% (-0.6 points). New Zealand First is up 1.7 points to 7.3% while Te Pati Maori is down 0.5 points to 3.5%.
For the minor parties, TOP is on 2.4% (+1.6 points), Outdoors & Freedom is on 1.0% (-0.3 points), and the combined total for all other parties is 0.8%.
| Party | Support | Change compared to June 2024 |
| National | 37.6% | up 2.2 |
| Labour | 25.9% | down 3.5 |
| Green | 12.5% | down 0.2 |
| ACT | 9.1% | down 0.6 |
| NZ First | 7.3% | up 1.7 |
| M?ori | 3.5% | up 0.5 |
| Other | 4.2% | up 1.0 |
Here is how these results would translate to seats in Parliament:
This poll will be pleasing to National and NZ First supporters but not so much for Labour supporters.
Christopher Luxon will also be breathing sigh of relief that he seems to have arrested his poor showing in Preferred PM stakes.
Christopher Luxon is up 9.1 points on last month to 34.5% while Chris Hipkins is down 1.5 points to 18.7%.
Chlöe Swarbrick is in third place on 10.9% (+2.3 points) followed by David Seymour (+0.6 points) and Winston Peters (+1.8 points) who are both on 5.6%.
5.0% (-3.3 points) of respondents still name Jacinda Ardern as their preferred Prime Minister.
Debbie Ngarewa-Packer is on 1.8%, Chris Bishop is on 1.7%, Nicola Willis is on 1.2%, Marama Davidson is on 1.2%, Leighton Baker is on 0.4%, and Rawiri Waititi is on 0.3%.
Taxpayers’ Union/Curia Poll
A good poll overall for the centre-right. Let’s hope they build on this to where they need to be to fight the next election.
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