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Summarised by Centrist
A new RNZ–Reid Research poll released on Tuesday found voters would return the coalition government to power with “the slimmest possible” 61-seat majority, even as most say the country is heading in the wrong direction and their cost-of-living pressures have worsened over the past year.
Despite a tight headline result, Labour’s coalition maths still relies on Te Pāti Māori, even as voters express mixed and often conflicting views on which governing partners Hipkins should rule out.
On the question of national direction, the poll showed “36.3 per cent (up 2.3) of respondents thought the country was heading in the right direction, compared to 46.6 per cent (down 2.3) who thought the wrong direction.”
According to RNZ, views have risen slightly since September, yet there are still far more people saying “wrong track” than “right track.”
Asked whether the cost of living was easier or harder to manage than a year ago, “57.5 per cent of respondents said they were finding it harder to manage than this time last year.”
Just “6.4 per cent said they were finding it easier,” while around a third said it was about the same.
The poll found that “just 12.2 per cent of voters said they felt better off financially compared to January 2025,” while “more than 46 per cent said they were worse off.”
Just over 40 per cent said they were neither better nor worse off.
About one in ten respondents said they would vote NZ First, and among those voters, more think the country is on the wrong track than the right one.
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