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On Incompetence, Kelvin Davis, Hansard & Transcripts

On Incompetence, Kelvin Davis, Hansard & Transcripts

Every now and again I will tune into Parliament TV when there is nothing else on worth viewing. Invariably I last about ten seconds before I get bored and tune right out again. But last week I stumbled upon a wee gem involving none other than Diversity Placement No.1,

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The BFD: July Election 2020 Political Poll

The BFD: July Election 2020 Political Poll

At the end of each month, The BFD puts up a new poll with the same question so that we can track changes in voters’ preferences in the lead up to the election on September 19th. Each month we will analyse the previous month’s results so that we can

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1News Poll Analysis

1News Poll Analysis

1News/Colmar Brunton have released their latest poll: Labour: 53% up 3% – 67 seats National: 32% down 6% – 41 seats Greens: 5% – six seats NZ First: 2% Act: 5% – six seats Preferred Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern: 54% Judith Collins: 20% and net positive +27% approval rating Clearly Newshub’s poll

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Latest 1News Poll

Latest 1News Poll

1News/Colmar Brunton have released their latest poll: Labour: 53% up 3% – 67 seats National: 32% down 6 – 41 seats Greens: 5% – six seats NZ First: 2% Act: 5% – six seats Preferred Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern: 54% Judith Collins: 20% and net positive +27% approval rating Judith Collins is still

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Opinion Polls Can Be Wildly Misleading

Opinion Polls Can Be Wildly Misleading

Never believe the opinion polls, particularly in a febrile environment like New Zealand is experiencing at the moment.  Remember the leadup to the 2017 election when Labour was on the nose, Andrew Little was its leader and the party was polling in the twenties? A change of leader at the

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The Tova Joke Poll

The Tova Joke Poll

They say laughter is the best form of medicine. That was certainly true of the Sunday night Newshub poll and Tova O’Brien’s reaction to it. I think the most apt description of the poll came from Cameron Slater who called it “a complete joke”. It was a joke

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Why We Can’t Trust Polling

Why We Can’t Trust Polling

Political reporters love polls with unexpected results because it gives them more airtime for speculation. Tova O’Brien went berserk when Newshub’s latest political poll showed Labour galloping 36% ahead of National. She basked in consternation from the side lines about the accuracy of a poll way out of

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Now That’s What I Call a Rogue Poll

Now That’s What I Call a Rogue Poll

Newshub have released their latest poll and it has to be a complete joke. It is hard believe that they have the cheek to claim that this poll is the most accurate. The headline numbers are: Labour: 60.9% up 4.4%, 77 seats National: 25.1% down 5.5%

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A Very Low Bar

A Very Low Bar

When Jacinda Ardern gave Iain Lees-Galloway his marching orders for an inappropriate relationship with a staffer she set a very low bar for getting the sack. Paula Bennett lowered the bar as well by using her own MPs and staffers to bury a wayward MP. I know many in National

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