Good morning. Here are 3 of the 10 stories in today's Ten@10.
1. Democracy Briefing: A fractured verdict and a fragile majority
Bryce Edwards says the coalition is clinging to a narrow majority boosted by overhang seats, with National leading in 41 electorates on a party vote worth 36 MPs. On his rough sums, a 2023-sized swing on the specials leaves it one short, handing the balance of power to Opportunity, the party Luxon ruled out.
Read it at The Democracy Project
6. The End of the Two-Party era
Former National MP Simon O'Connor says the winners were the smaller parties, and National, under 30%, faces "an existential challenge". Labour did little better, with the vote going to the Greens and Opportunity instead. His verdict: this may be "the beginning of a long-term realignment."
7. RODNEY HIDE: Nine hundred thousand votes
Rodney Hide says National's party votes bought it nothing because its seats all come from electorates, after Luxon called split voting "an insanely stupid idea". In a postscript he corrects his specials maths and says the race now turns on Wairarapa, where National leads by 139 votes.
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