Easier contraception access, voluntary family planning, abortion/abortion up to birth, delayed childbearing age, transgender sterilisation, economic pressures, elites like Bill Gates promoting depopulation, women’s careers, rising education and leisure, untested injections that cause increase of miscarriages, suicides and a cultural shift towards smaller families. Put all this together and we have a crisis in birthrates.
Have more kids! It looks like Winston Peters and Elon Musk are onto something. Recently, Peters brought this issue to the fore. Out of the blue, he announced at a New Zealand First Masterton public meeting, ‘New Zealand needs to get our birthrate increasing, before it’s too late’. This country’s total fertility rate is currently well below the replacement level of about 2.1 children per woman and has been declining for a decade. He revealed his party’s new policy to boost the birthrate is to pay parents for the first three years of their children’s lives up to three children.
Family First’s recent interview with Winston Peters about this policy.
https://familyfirst.org.nz/2026/08/03/mcblog-winston-peters-baby-bonus-social-media-ban/
NZ’s population is expected to reach seven to eight million by the late 2070s. Roughly two- thirds of growth to six million is projected before 2040 to come from net migration.
Stats NZ
This alarming projection can no longer be skimmed over or ignored. It is of interest that around the world, leaders are making political noise about the same population decline in their countries. They are choosing to support growth from within their own culture and population rather than rely on migrants from other cultures. They are announcing policies that put families first by supporting parents.
For example, Prime Minister Takaichi’s recent speech is currently going viral overseas. She stated that having more Japanese children, rather than increasing immigrants, is the key to solving Japan's population decline, and criticised foreigners who do not respect Japanese culture. Japan in 2025 had a record low births 671,000 Japanese children born, a total fertility rate of 1.14; that is not a replacement level needed to keep the population stable in the long run. The birth rate must be raised to lead to growth.
Takaichi has repeatedly outlined Japan’s declining birthrate and population decline as the country’s biggest challenge – a ‘quiet emergency’ or ‘silent emergency’ that erodes national vitality – and prioritises policies to support Japanese people having more children.
Europe is facing a historic birth collapse, where deaths are outstripping births.
• EU: 3.46 million births vs 4.81 million deaths in 2025, a natural loss of 1.35 million people.
• 21 of 27 EU countries recorded more deaths than births. The EU’s population growth came entirely from migration.
• EU fertility fell to a record-low 1.34 in 2024, declining in 24 of 27 member states.
The breakdown of the countries’ numbers.
• Germany: 654,241 births in 2025, the lowest postwar total. Fertility fell to 1.32.
• France: Fertility fell to 1.56, the lowest since WWI. Deaths exceeded births for the first time since WWII.
• Italy: Just 355,000 births vs 652,000 deaths. Fertility fell to 1.14.
• Poland: 238,000 births, the lowest postwar total. Deaths exceeded births by 168,000.
• Czechia: 77,636 births, the lowest ever. Fertility fell to 1.28.
• England and Wales: Births fell 1.6 per cent in 2025, while fertility dropped to an estimated 1.39.
• Scotland: Births reached their lowest level since records began in 1855. Fertility hit a record-low 1.25.
• Austria: Births fell to a 25-year low. Fertility hit a record-low 1.30.
• Switzerland: Fertility fell again to 1.28 in 2025.
• Greece: 68,467 births vs 126,916 deaths.
• Malta, Spain and Lithuania recorded the EU’s lowest fertility rates: 1.01, 1.10 and 1.11. Spain still recorded 122,167 more deaths than births in 2025, despite a small rise in births.
• Finland: Fertility rose slightly to 1.30 in 2025 but remains far below 1.87 in 2010.
– Amir Tsarfati on Telegram, Aug 1, 2026.
More countries are rejecting wholesale immigration policies and illegal immigrants crossing borders and expecting to receive social security. A grass roots fight back is happening in many countries.
A Brit could be mistaken what country they were in. In certain areas, a flood of other ethnicities has moved into the country and has had such a cultural impact it can no longer be ignored.
For example, a Muslim man may have three or four ‘wives’, with each of these women living as single mothers. In this illustration there is separate money for the four women and their children, on top of eligibility for four council flats and free healthcare. There is no need for the man to work.
Hard working tax paying Brits are fed up with the status quo but it’s impossible to raise this issue as a concerned person without risking being labelled a racist. Like Japan, low fertility has become the country’s biggest challenge. Other cultures are having many children but the birth rate for British women is low. Europe’s demographic crisis is no longer limited to just a few countries.
It is happening at an alarming scale right under our noses in New Zealand and Peter’s isn’t afraid to talk about it.
Further projections by Stats NZ
Natural increase is expected to keep falling. By the mid-2030s it is projected to drop below 20,000 per year, and by the 2040s deaths are likely to exceed births in some scenarios (i.e., natural decrease begins).
In a hypothetical “no migration” scenario (no migrant arrivals or departures), the population would peak at just under 5.5 million in the early 2040s and then slowly decline as deaths outnumber births. It would return to roughly the 2025 size (~5.3 million) around 2060 and fall below five million in the mid-2070s.
A sensible fight back is coming from the New Zealand First Party. Peters was the only leader who spoke out against a coalition trade deal with India. He said it wasn’t a good deal. He warned it opens the country up to many Indians and their families coming into NZ. Endeavouring to avoid an unnecessary social upheaval, Winston Peters speaks out against wholesale immigration, preferring to promote a Kiwi cultural policy that is significant for the growth, stability and the future of Kiwi families.
https://www.nzfirst.nz/nzfirst_announces_policy_to_encourage_kiwis_to_have_more_kids
Supporting parents with a financial incentive package, to begin counteracting a low birth rate and the deceptive need to increase growth by immigration, is a jolly good idea. NZF’s policy will appeal to the more conservative voters who are family orientated.
