This is edition 2025/17 of the Ten@10 newsletter.
Welcome back. It's 2025 and 20 years since I started writing about politics and anything else that took my fancy. Thank to my VIP members for making this site what it is today. In July we will be having a 20th birthday celebration. Stay tuned for more announcements.
This is the Ten@10, where I collate and summarise ten news items you generally won't see in the mainstream media.
Enjoy!
1. Where the 2023 voters are going
David Farrar
- 📊 Poll Shift: January 2025 Taxpayers' Union - Curia poll shows Labour leading National for the first time since 2022.
- 🗳️ 2023 Voter Shifts: Analysis of 2023 voter recall shows significant movement:
- 70% of 2023 National voters stick with National.
- 79% of 2023 Labour voters remain with Labour.
- 67% of 2023 Greens voters stay with Greens.
- 85% of 2023 ACT voters stay with ACT.
- 🔄 Voter Movement: National loses voters to Labour, ACT, NZ First; Labour loses to Te Pati Maori (TPM) and Greens.
- 🚶♂️ Labour's Dilemma: Labour faces a tough choice: shift centre to gain National voters or move left to reclaim TPM and Greens support.
- 🌱 Greens' Struggles: Surprising number of Greens voters shift to Labour, possibly due to internal issues and scandals.
- 📈 ACT's Position: ACT gains 2% net from National, with 9% of ACT's 2023 voters moving to National, but 7% of National's voters moving to ACT.
