This is edition 2025/40 of the Ten@10 newsletter.
Welcome back. It's 2025 and 20 years since I started writing about politics and anything else that took my fancy. Thank to my VIP members for making this site what it is today. In July we will be having a 20th birthday celebration. Stay tuned for more announcements.
This is the Ten@10, where I collate and summarise ten news items you generally won't see in the mainstream media.
Enjoy!
1. National-led Government and Labour-led Parliamentary opposition tied on 47.5% each in February
Roy Morgan
- 📊 Poll Results: Roy Morgan’s February 2025 poll shows a dead heat between the National-led Government (47.5%) and the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Opposition (47.5%).
- 📉 National Support Drops: National’s support fell 2% to 30.5%, NZ First down 2.5% to 6%, while ACT gained 1% to 11%.
- 📈 Labour & Greens Rise: Labour up 0.5% to 29%, Greens up 4% to 15.5%, but Maori Party dropped 3.5% to 3%.
- 🧑🤝🧑 Minor Parties: 5% of electors support minor parties, including The Opportunities Party (T.O.P.) and others like NewZeal and the Freedom Party.
- ⚖️ Seat Projections: Both government and opposition would win 60 seats each.
- 🧳 Gender Differences: Men favor National/ACT/NZ First, while women overwhelmingly support Labour/Greens/Maori.
- 🧑🤝🧑 Age & Gender Trends: Older men (50+) back the government, younger women (18-49) strongly favor the opposition, especially the Greens.
- 🚨 Confidence Drop: Government Confidence Rating increased by 1 point to 90, but men’s confidence dipped, especially for younger men.
- 💼 Bayly Resignation: National's Commerce Minister Andrew Bayly resigned, fueling opposition criticism, impacting the government’s standing.
- 💰 Economic Concerns: Economic growth remains sluggish, with only 0.1% growth, though interest rates were reduced to 3.75%.
- 🧐 Political Uncertainty: Polls show a tight race and the government facing pressure, with consumer confidence low. The last government voted out after one term was 50 years ago.
