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It's a coin toss. Here are the receipts.

The full Good Oil AI desk, free until 15 November.

Good Oil AI Election Pass

Hi,

You've been reading The Good Oil for free, and I'm glad you're here. This election, I want to give you more than the headlines.

Right now National is on 28.7 and Labour on 28.2 in the poll of polls. On the seat model National, ACT and NZ First get 59. You need 61. TOP is sitting just above the 5% line, and that's about seven seats either way.

That's what Good Oil AI does. It tracks every poll and every pollster's lean, puts a dossier on every MP, follows the donations and the lobbying, and answers your questions with sources.

Election Pass: the full desk, free until 15 November. After that it's $25 a month incl GST, and you can cancel any time. You'll need a card to start, but nothing is charged until 15 November. Stripe emails you a reminder 7 days before the first charge, around 8 November, and you can cancel any time in the app.

Start my Election Pass →

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The Good Oil Word of the Day

The word for today is… heterodox (adjective) - 1: contrary to or different from an acknowledged standard, a traditional form, or an established religion : unorthodox, unconventional 2: holding unorthodox opinions or doctrines Source : Merriam-Webster Etymology : Individuals often see other people’s ideas as unconventional while regarding their own as common

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