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My Gut Feeling Says ‘Bugger the Polls’
Whichever way the cookie crumbles, it is going to be an interesting night. Split your vote and hopefully save the day.
Quick Hit: The Fiscal Update in Numbers and Who Paid for the Better Books
The deficit is $3 billion for the quarter, $1.4 billion better than Treasury forecast. Treasury’s own pre-election update says part of the improvement comes from inflation lifting the tax take.
Labour and National Have Already Lost
I give my prediction for this election, but regardless of who forms the next government, Election 2026 confirms the long decline of New Zealand's political giants.
National Sinks, Winston Holds and a Te Pāti Māori MP Ticks Green
Roy Morgan’s final poll has National on 26.5 per cent while NZ First and ACT hold firm. The left’s path runs through Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori’s own MP is party voting Green.