Coalition on Track for Second Term as Poll of Polls Gives Luxon 88 Per Cent Chance
A lot can change in politics but right now the trend favours the coalition returning with a stronger NZ First presence and some big adjustments in the seat counts.
Polls
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[The Good Oil] May 2026 Political Poll
Take our Monthly Political Poll and then share the poll on social media. By sharing the poll you will help even more readers to discover The Good Oil.
Christopher Luxon Must Have a Death Wish
If National keeps this up, the only winners will be the opposition parties watching from the sidelines.
Making a Mountain Out of Bugger-All
Whipping themselves into a lather over nothing more than poll noise.
Quick Hit: The Poll of Polls Says What Luxon Can’t Admit – Winston Is the Government
The Good Oil’s Poll of Polls reveals Labour leading at 35.2 per cent vs National’s 29.6 per cent. The coalition survives with just a one-seat majority – and it’s entirely dependent on Winston Peters.
National Nosedives as Luxon Drags the Party to Fresh Lows
The next few weeks will be telling. If the caucus lacks the courage to act, the electorate will deliver its verdict at the ballot box. And on current polling, that looks brutal.
Luxon in the Dead Zone as National Slumps to 29 Per Cent in New Poll
Luxon has no plan to turn this around and no loyal base to protect him. The clock is ticking and the questions are only getting louder.
TPU/Curia Poll Says It All
These issues need to be addressed post haste. Nothing less will satisfy the voter base. Here’s the scary thing: time is running out.
NZ First Surges as Coalition Claws Back Majority in Latest Poll
For the coalition this poll brings welcome relief. For National it is another reminder that Luxon remains the albatross around its neck.
One Nation Leading in Battleground State
The Liberals are toast – and Labor ought to start worrying.
The Good Oil Occupation Poll
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Luxon the Albatross: National Sinks While Coalition Clings to Life
National caucus members who want to keep their jobs should act soon. The longer Luxon stays, the deeper the hole becomes.
[The Good Oil] April 2026 Political Poll
Take our Monthly Political Poll and then share the poll on social media. By sharing the poll you will help even more readers to discover The Good Oil.
One Nation Surges in Teal Strongholds
Young people back the orange wave on the Northern Beaches.
The Clock Is Ticking: Can Christopher Luxon Turn It Around Before November?
For New Zealand, November’s about accountability for broken promises. Luxon’s broken promises are catching up on him.