What One Nation’s Poll Numbers Tell Us
The conservative vote in Australia is regrouping and Labor should be worried.
Polls
Luxon’s Popularity Takes a Nosedive in Leaked Poll
These poll ratings act like a boat anchor, holding National back from any real momentum. With an election looming later this year, Luxon’s personal unpopularity may well sink the party’s chances if they don’t address it sharpish.
Winston Peters and NZ First: Polling Highs, Historical Trends and Why Polls Are Rubbish
NZ First is probably in their best position ever heading into an election year as part of the governing coalition. The upward swing from five to seven per cent in early 2025 to eight to 12 per cent now breaks the mould.
National’s Poll Doldrums Continue
National must lift its game or risk losing what should be a winnable position. Luxon needs to shake off the boat anchor label fast or the party will keep drifting.
NZ First’s Poll Surge: Winston’s Winning While the Big Boys Flounder
NZ First rejects globalism outright and voters love it. This poll surge proves the public craves parties with spine, not more milquetoast mush from the majors. Watch this space: 2026 could be Winston’s biggest rodeo yet.
Latest Taxpayers’ Union Poll: A Wake-Up Call for the Centre-Right
The centre-right needs to capitalise on the discontent, sharpen its message and remind Kiwis what is at stake. Otherwise, prepare for higher taxes, more division and a government that prioritises ideology over commonsense.
The Polls Are Tolling ‘Pauline’
Is this a sign of a once-in-a-century shift in Australian politics?
CTU’s Dodgy Survey Hammers Coalition Ministers, But Peters Comes Out on Top
This CTU hit job reeks of partisan axe-grinding, courtesy of Egan’s Labour connections. Yet it underscores a real issue: the government must get visible and deliver for everyday Kiwis or risk more of this noise.
Roy Morgan Poll Shows Election Year Knife-Edge, With Luxon Holding National Back
National has a glaring problem here, and I have said it time and time again: they need real strategies to turn this around. At least the problem has a name, and that name is Christopher Luxon.
![[The Good Oil] January 2026 Political Poll](https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1540910419892-4a36d2c3266c?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=webp&ixid=M3wxMTc3M3wwfDF8c2VhcmNofDk1fHx2b3Rpbmd8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzIyMzkxNTI4fDA&ixlib=rb-4.0.3&q=80&w=1304)
[The Good Oil] January 2026 Political Poll
Take our Monthly Political Poll and then share the poll on social media. By sharing the poll you will help even more readers to discover The Good Oil.
Latest Poll Nightmare for National: Luxon’s Leadership a Sinking Ship
As these poll numbers sink in, expect the ranks of National MPs facing the chop to swell. More and more will lose their seats if this holds up. That reality only grows the ‘anyone but Luxon’ faction within the party.
No Bias in Two Recent Polls
Looking ahead to 2026 election year, my money is on the re-election of the coalition.
Another Dismal Poll for National: Luxon Sinks Further as Election Looms
National cannot keep pretending everything is fine. This poll is a wake-up call, if they have not hit snooze too many times already. With 2026 looming, they better find some spine or prepare for a long stint in opposition.
2:1 Support for Ban on Puberty Blockers
National, ACT, NZ First and Te Pāti Māori supporters had net favourability to the ban, with Labour voters evenly split, and Green voters unsurprisingly opposed.
Latest Poll: Te Pāti Māori in Freefall as Government Clings to Power
Keep in mind that this poll was conducted before allegations started swirling about Willie Jackson and his MUMA issues. If those gain traction, Labour could face even more headaches, further weakening the left’s position.
Latest Roy Morgan Poll: Government Edges Ahead, But It’s All Smoke and Mirrors
In the grand scheme, this poll is largely meaningless. But it does shine a light on one thing: tiny swings in support could tip the balance and unseat the current government.