Good morning. Here are 3 of the 10 stories in today's Ten@10.
4. RODNEY HIDE: Hipkins sets the bar, then trips over it
Hipkins called the Mongrel Mob pad visit a “huge error of judgement”, then lost his own candidate Kerrin Leoni over footage of her at an event with Mongrel Mob members, and called the reaction racist. Rodney Hide says he set the bar and tripped over it, and that Tāmaki Makaurau now drifts to the Māori Party, which grows the overhang and Parliament to 124 seats on Hide’s model.
8. The Overhang 2.10 - Side splitting
The Overhang crunched decades of vote-splitting data and says “National are almost certainly getting an overhang”. Its average result: National wins 40 electorates, Labour 21, with a National overhang of 8 in a 130-seat Parliament on The Overhang’s model.
10. BRYCE WILKINSON: Cost of living crisis won’t be solved by subsidising prices
Real national disposable income per person is still 1.5% below the September 2022 quarter, and productivity growth slumped to 0.1% a year from 2020 to 2024. Bryce Wilkinson says subsidies and price caps can’t fix that: “Forcing a price down does not reduce the cost of supply.”
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