At the end of each month, The BFD puts up a new poll with the same question so that we can track changes in voters’ preferences in the lead up to the election on October 17th.
Each month we will analyse the previous month’s results so that we can see which parties are gaining, losing or maintaining support in the lead up to election day.
If National changes leader part way through the year, for example, we will be able to tell you if that has affected support for the National party or not. Alternatively, if they do not change their leader we will be able to see if the voters that were expecting a leadership change remove their support for National as the election date gets closer.
January’s poll results:
- ACT 49%
- National 30%
- New Conservative 17%
- Maori Party 1%
- NZ First – no support
- Undecided 3%
February’s poll results:
- ACT 52% +3%
- National 27% -3%
- New Conservative 17%
- Maori Party-no support -1%
- NZ First 1% +1%
- Undecided 3%
March’s poll results:
- ACT 49% -3%
- National 26% -1%
- New Conservative 20% +3%
- Maori Party-no support
- NZ First 2% +1%
- Undecided 1% -2%
The poll results for April were:
- ACT 54% +5%
- National 23% -3%
- New Conservative 19% -1%
- Maori Party- no support
- NZ First 1% -1%
- Undecided 2% + 1%
The poll results for May were:
- ACT 44% -10%
- National 26% +3%
- New Conservative 23% +4%
- Maori Party- no support
- NZ First 3% +2%
- Undecided 2%- no change
The poll results for June were:
- ACT 55% +11%
- National 26% no change
- New Conservative 15% -8%
- Maori Party 1% + 1%
- NZ First 1% -2%
- Labour 2% +2%
- Undecided 0% -2%
The poll results for July were:
- ACT 41% -14%
- National 43% +17
- New Conservative 13% -2%
- Maori Party 1% no change
- NZ First 0% -1%
- Labour 2% no change
- Undecided 0% no change
Last month’s poll had the National Party in front for the first time since we started polling back in January with a solid 43% up a significant 17%. ACT is now in second place with 41% down 14% and New Conservative remains in third place down 2% to 13%.
NZ First support is now at zero down 1% from the previous month while support for the Maori party is unchanged at 1%. Last month none of our readers were undecided and for the second time ever since we started polling there is support of 2% showing for the Labour party.
The July poll was taken after Judith Collins became the leader of the National party.
Take our August poll below.
