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At the end of each month, The BFD puts up a new poll with the same question so that we can track changes in voters’ preferences in the lead up to the election on October 17th.
Each month we will analyse the previous month’s results so that we can see which parties are gaining, losing or maintaining support in the lead up to election day.
If National changes leader part way through the year, for example, we will be able to tell you if that has affected support for the National party or not. Alternatively, if they do not change their leader we will be able to see if the voters that were expecting a leadership change remove their support for National as the election date gets closer.
January’s poll results:
- ACT 49%
- National 30%
- New Conservative 17%
- Maori Party 1%
- NZ First – no support
- Undecided 3%
February’s poll results:
- ACT 52% +3%
- National 27% -3%
- New Conservative 17%
- Maori Party-no support -1%
- NZ First 1% +1%
- Undecided 3%
March’s poll results:
- ACT 49% -3%
- National 26% -1%
- New Conservative 20% +3%
- Maori Party-no support
- NZ First 2% +1%
- Undecided 1% -2%
The poll results for April were:
- ACT 54% +5%
- National 23% -3%
- New Conservative 19% -1%
- Maori Party- no support
- NZ First 1% -1%
- Undecided 2% + 1%
The poll results for May were:
- ACT 44% -10%
- National 26% +3%
- New Conservative 23% +4%
- Maori Party- no support
- NZ First 3% +2%
- Undecided 2%- no change
The poll results for June were:
- ACT 55% +11%
- National 26% no change
- New Conservative 15% -8%
- Maori Party 1% + 1%
- NZ First 1% -2%
- Labour 2% +2%
- Undecided 0% -2%
The poll results for July were:
- ACT 41% -14%
- National 43% +17
- New Conservative 13% -2%
- Maori Party 1% no change
- NZ First 0% -1%
- Labour 2% no change
- Undecided 0% no change
The poll results for August were:
- ACT 41% % no change
- National 39% -4%
- New Conservative 18% +5%
- Maori Party 0% -1%
- NZ First 0% no change
- Labour 0% -2%
- Undecided 0% no change
- Other 2% +2%
This is what all our BFD polling results from January up until August looks like:
The BFD Polling Results. Graph credit Sally
Last month’s poll had the ACT party in front with the same solid 41% it had the month before. National is now in second place with 39% down 4% and New Conservative remains in third place with 18% up 5%.
NZ First support remains at zero while support for the Maori party has dropped 1% to 0%. Last month none of our readers were undecided and for the first time since we started polling, there is now support of 2% showing for the “Other” option.
The August poll was taken after Judith Collins became the leader of the National party.
Take our September poll below.
