Skip to content

What Are Global Temperatures Really Doing?

NIWA says January 2025 was the coolest January since 2017 and the coldest January on record for six locations.

Photo by NASA / Unsplash

Fred T00

The mainstream media have been working themselves into a yet another climate alarmist frenzy about January 2025 being the hottest January on record, globally. This was apparently even more alarming because it was predicted it would be cooler than January 2024.

Here in New Zealand, NIWA says January 2025 was the coolest January since 2017. It was 0.8°C below their 1991–2020 average and they even went as far as admitting that it was the coldest January on record for six locations, and nearly the coldest for a further 17 locations.

But back to global temperatures – arguably the most accurate indication of global temperatures comes from using satellites to measure temperatures in the lower atmosphere, known as the troposphere. Since 1979, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s satellites have been carrying instruments that measure the temperature of the troposphere by observing natural microwave thermal emissions. Every month, the National Space Science and Technology Center (NSSTC) in Huntsville, Alabama, updates global temperature datasets using this satellite data.

The NSSTC’s preliminary findings were that the global composite temperature for January 2025 was down by 0.40°C on January 2024. Not a record high at all! January 2025 was 0.46°C above their seasonal average compared to 0.62°C above average in December 2024 and 0.86°C above average in January 2024.

Giving further detail on January, the NSSTC reported that the decline in tropical temperature of 0.29°C from December was substantial and, when included in the global temperature, the January 2025 global anomaly of +0.46°C produced the coolest anomaly since June 2023 and continues the decline begun in November.

As most readers probably know, there are many problems with conventional weather station data, including the ‘heat island’ effect as cities become larger, changes in station location and manipulation of historic records. Satellite data should be largely immune to these problems and a more reliable indicator of our constantly changing climate. The main weakness is probably that satellite data have only been gathered since 1979.

https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/

https://niwa.co.nz/climate-and-weather/monthly/climate-summary-january-2025

Latest

Quick Hit

Quick Hit: Own It, Both Of You

National pledges a digital trans-Tasman trial before the 2028 T20 World Cup. Hipkins says he and Albanese agreed it in 2023. Luxon says you need National to get things done. The row is about credit, not caution. Own it, both of you.

Members Public
Cartoon: Chris Hipkins brands Split Your Vote an absolute rort on one side while leaving a Te Pati Maori pathway open on the other

Hipkins the Hypocrite

Hipkins called Harry Mowbray’s split-vote campaign an absolute rort by wealthy entrenched interests. Under MMP an overhang is a feature, not a loophole. Chippy only hates it when his mates aren’t running it. If it is absolute fraud, rule Te Pāti Māori out. He will not.

Members Public