Coalition Clings To Slim 51 Per Cent Lead But Static Support And Opportunity Surge Spell Seat Losses
With National stuck in neutral, minor parties eating into the vote and a gaping gender divide in voter sentiment, that majority is far from comfortable.
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What Can We Read Into the TVNZ Poll?
Economic optimism does not decide elections. But it matters. Has National timed its run just right?
The Right Is One Seat Short. Party Vote NZ First or ACT.
National jumped four points and Labour hit its lowest since 2023, yet the 1News-Verian seat maths leaves the right one seat short. A party on eight per cent and a party on 0.7 per cent now decide who governs.
The Left’s Only Road to 61 Runs Through a 5.4 Per Cent Party. Party Vote NZ First or ACT.
The Post/Freshwater poll has Labour 28.7, National 27.6 and the left reaching 61 only with Opportunity on 5.4 per cent. Electorate vote National, party vote NZ First or ACT.
Vic Libs Can’t Afford to Play Coy
Playing hard-to-get on preferences with One Nation is delusional.
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