Quick Hit: Last Time It Cost Them Points
ACT’s James Christmas and Paul Henry have gone after NZ First on abortion and foreign aid with four weeks to run. ACT is down to 9.2 in Curia. The last time ACT attacked Winston, it cost them points.
ACT
Luxon Will Pick Up the Phone
Luxon has ruled out Opportunity, but he never said he wouldn’t take the call. On current polling the overhang strategy is the only way to keep Opportunity out and the coalition in.
Quick Hit: Two Ticks Against Your Partner
Paul Goldsmith, sixth on National's list, is door-knocking Epsom for two ticks blue against David Seymour. National is polling with no list headroom and needs ACT's seats to govern.
Winston Brought the Majority
NZ First is up to 12 per cent and 16 seats and that is what puts the coalition on 65. National’s party vote still buys no list MP. Electorate vote National, party vote ACT or NZ First.
Reality Wants Its Money Back
David Seymour has called the government’s path to surplus “heroic”, four days before National shows its fiscal plan. When the junior partner says that about your books, believe him.
Three Polls Say Split Your Vote
Tuesday’s three polls all show the majors bleeding to the minors. Neither Chris is liked. National’s list lift is a forlorn hope. Electorate National or best candidate; party vote ACT or NZ First.
A Super Policy
Seymour may have devised the policy as an alternative to compulsory saving, but I think he has a winner for the retired.
Luxon Is Finished, So Split Your Vote And Save The Coalition
National 25.9 per cent, its worst since 2020. Neither bloc gets to 61. Luxon survived two recent confidence votes and the party is paying for it. Vote National in the electorate, party vote ACT or NZ First.
Desperation Is a Stinky Cologne
Key says it will be tight getting Willis, Bishop, Goldsmith and Brownlee home. About 125,000 extra party votes for just one list MP, only if National holds 39 electorates. When the scare is Laws and Henry, panic is a confession.
Hipkins the Hypocrite
Hipkins called Harry Mowbray’s split-vote campaign an absolute rort by wealthy entrenched interests. Under MMP an overhang is a feature, not a loophole. Chippy only hates it when his mates aren’t running it. If it is absolute fraud, rule Te Pāti Māori out. He will not.
Winston’s Right – Key’s Speech Was Suicidal
John Key told National voters splitting their vote was ‘the opposite of clever’. Winston Peters called it a suicidal speech. Run the numbers and Winston is the one who can count.
Quick Hit: Labour Breaks Both. Nat Breaks One. ACT Breaks Nothing.
Labour would force Woolworths and Foodstuffs to split retail from wholesale. National still hedges Foodstuffs behind ComCom. Seymour brings the scissors. Breakup season. Same aisle. Three scripts. Labour breaks both. Nat breaks one (maybe). ACT breaks nothing.
Quick Hit: Breach Of Trust. Then The SFO.
Van Velden has lost confidence in FENZ CE Kerry Gregory after a seriously significant file was withheld for a year. SFO sits on a historical levy matter FENZ says is proactive and not Gregory personally. Accountability needs the file. Breach of trust. Then the SFO.
The Letter National and NZ First Didn’t Want to Receive
The Waitangi Tribunal was never intended to exist indefinitely. It is time for our elected government to step up, complete the settlement process, and unite New Zealand with equal rights for all citizens.
Quick Hit: Ten Point Eight Million. And The Veto.
Greens still sell KiwiMart at $10.8m a store with the library costing locked. Same week Seymour brings the aisle veto and National leaves ComCom out. Soft communism with a locked drawer. Campaign promise with coalition scissors.
Giant Douche. Turd Sandwich. Take Your Pick.
Every leader underwater. Luxon worst at 54/25. Hipkins ahead on seven of eight. Ardern still the only net favourable figure. South Park already named the ballot.