Analysis — Election 2026 — NZ Politics — David Seymour — Nicola Willis — Christopher Luxon — Chris Hipkins — ACT — National Party — Fiscal Policy
Reality Wants Its Money Back
David Seymour has called the government’s path to surplus “heroic”, four days before National shows its fiscal plan. When the junior partner says that about your books, believe him.
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Quick Hit: Hipkins Dumped Leoni, Now He Might Need Her Seat
Chris Hipkins dumped Kerrin Leoni over gang campaigning. She is still on the Tāmaki Makaurau ballot as Labour, a pre-resignation Curia poll had her two points off the seat and, if she wins, only Labour can pull the party-hopping trigger.
The Gangs Row Did Not Miss The Left. It Hit The Whole Bloc.
1News says Labour held steady through the gangs row. Labour did. The left did not. The poll was in the field the week Kerrin Leoni’s footage came out, and the right bloc now sits on 61 seats to the left’s 56.
An Overhang Ends The List Gravy Train
Rodney Hide says National is heading for an overhang. If he is right, National’s party vote stops buying seats, the list loses its power and MPs who have never won an electorate lose their free pass. Paul Goldsmith has lost Epsom five times.
Quick Hit: ACT’s $22b In Four Lines
ACT’s manifesto puts $22 billion of savings on the table over four years, debt $12.4b lower by 2031, Super at 67 by 2035, and a three-year minimum wage freeze. One headline muddled that to $2b. Hipkins still has not priced his first week.
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Brazil Election Done but Not Dusted [Updated]
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