Opportunity Holds the Cards as Luxon’s Coalition Stumbles Toward a Hung Parliament
Christopher Luxon is running out of time to change the narrative before voters decide whether one term is quite enough.
Polls
![[The Good Oil] August 2026 Political Poll](https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1540910419892-4a36d2c3266c?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=webp&ixid=M3wxMTc3M3wwfDF8c2VhcmNofDk1fHx2b3Rpbmd8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzIyMzkxNTI4fDA&ixlib=rb-4.0.3&q=80&w=1304)
[The Good Oil] August 2026 Political Poll
Take our Monthly Political Poll and then share the poll on social media. By sharing the poll you will help even more readers to discover The Good Oil.
![Leadership Challenge Nail in Vic Labor Coffin [Updated]](https://storage.ghost.io/c/31/f4/31f4e20a-0315-499e-83ff-139e8eab53bf/content/images/size/w1304/format/webp/2026/07/The_GoodOil_JacintaAllan.jpg)
Leadership Challenge Nail in Vic Labor Coffin [Updated]
Meanwhile, polls show One Nation closing in as a contender for government.
Media’s New Darling: Opportunity’s Magical Rise to Almost-Relevant
A left-wing party that refuses to admit it is left-wing has been gifted credibility it has not earned, while the same media that spent years dismissing similar parties now act as its unpaid campaign managers.
Suddenly, the Polls Don’t Matter Again
Another day, another ream of legacy media hit jobs.
Luxon’s Leadership is a Sinking Ship and the Polls Prove It
The coalition arithmetic is getting tighter and the punters are looking elsewhere. National under Luxon is bleeding support and the excuses are wearing thin.
Herald Poll of Polls Dresses Up Wishful Thinking as Science
Kiwis are still rejecting the previous government’s failures and the media’s desperate attempts to manufacture a left-wing comeback keep falling flat.
Poll Shows Coalition Hanging on by Its Fingernails as National Drags Everyone Down
National remains the anchor dragging the coalition down. If they cannot find a way to reconnect with their base and deliver real relief on taxes, spending and regulation, the next poll could be even uglier.
Coalition Clings To Slim 51 Per Cent Lead But Static Support And Opportunity Surge Spell Seat Losses
With National stuck in neutral, minor parties eating into the vote and a gaping gender divide in voter sentiment, that majority is far from comfortable.
[The Good Oil] July 2026 Political Poll
Take our Monthly Political Poll and then share the poll on social media. By sharing the poll you will help even more readers to discover The Good Oil.
Luxon Thinks He Is Buzz Lightyear but He Is Just Temu John Key
The gap between what Luxon promised and what the country is actually getting remains the simplest attack line the opposition has. They would be fools not to use it.
Big Two Crash to 30-Year Low as Media Promotes Opportunity Party
With 14 per cent of voters still undecided, and support this fragmented, the path to government in November is wide open. The big two are on the nose and the minors are on the move. Anything could happen from here.
Poll of Polls Shows Coalition Still Strong Despite TOP Fantasy
This is not the sign of a collapsing government. It is the sign of a media desperate to inject uncertainty where the numbers show strength.
