Polls
Voters Are Speaking: Pauline for PM
Pollsters have finally asked the one question they’ve been avoiding.
National Dives Below 30 Per Cent as Luxon Drags the Party Deeper Into the Mire
Voters are watching closely. The campaign has not even fully kicked off and already the trends favour a more fragmented parliament with stronger minor parties.
Coalition Clings to Slim Majority as Voters Remain Unimpressed by Budget
The next few months will be critical. If the coalition cannot deliver tangible improvements and start climbing in the polls, Winston might decide it is time to remind everyone who really holds the balance of power.
Union Poll Proves It: Ask Stupid Questions, Get Stupid Answers
The ball is in Luxon and Willis’s court. Time to deliver something that actually looks and feels like we are back on track – not just talking about it.
One Nation Heals the Gender Divide
For once, more women are backing a right-wing party than men.
Roy Morgan Shows National-Led Government Bouncing Back – But Take It with a Grain of Salt
The general trend across the wider polling picture seems to be correcting in favour of the coalition. Luxon and his team will be hoping this upward movement holds.
![[The Good Oil] June 2026 Political Poll](https://images.unsplash.com/photo-1540910419892-4a36d2c3266c?crop=entropy&cs=tinysrgb&fit=max&fm=webp&ixid=M3wxMTc3M3wwfDF8c2VhcmNofDk1fHx2b3Rpbmd8ZW58MHx8fHwxNzIyMzkxNTI4fDA&ixlib=rb-4.0.3&q=80&w=1304)
[The Good Oil] June 2026 Political Poll
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National’s Panic Attack on Winston Reveals the Real Problem: They’re Labour Lite
If National keeps this up, they risk handing Winston an even stronger hand in post-election negotiations. Attacking him now could exact a fair bit of utu later.
What Are the Australian Polls Saying Now?
Voters deliver a brutal budget verdict as One Nation surges.
National Flat-Lining at 29 Per Cent as Winston Closes on Luxon
National has run out of time. They cannot keep hoping the polls will turn.
National Flatlining at 25.5 Percent: Luxon Has Made His Bed and the Country is Paying for It
The clock is ticking. November is not far away. National can keep telling itself things will turn around or it can face the facts staring at it in every poll. Right now the facts say Luxon is the problem.
Labour and National in Dead Heat as Government Scrapes Through
Voters are in a holding pattern. With neither major bloc able to break clear, the support parties continue to wield outsized power. That is the reality of MMP in 2026.
Quick Hit: Poll of Polls – The Margin of Victory Is Growing, And It’s Not Going Where the Herald Thinks
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