[The Good Oil] January 2025 Political Poll
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What Can We Read Into the TVNZ Poll?
Economic optimism does not decide elections. But it matters. Has National timed its run just right?
The Right Is One Seat Short. Party Vote NZ First or ACT.
National jumped four points and Labour hit its lowest since 2023, yet the 1News-Verian seat maths leaves the right one seat short. A party on eight per cent and a party on 0.7 per cent now decide who governs.
The Left’s Only Road to 61 Runs Through a 5.4 Per Cent Party. Party Vote NZ First or ACT.
The Post/Freshwater poll has Labour 28.7, National 27.6 and the left reaching 61 only with Opportunity on 5.4 per cent. Electorate vote National, party vote NZ First or ACT.
Vic Libs Can’t Afford to Play Coy
Playing hard-to-get on preferences with One Nation is delusional.
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Would National forfeit the election to stop becoming a more center-right government?
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Labour: For Workers or Wokesters?
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