[The Good Oil] July 2025 Political Poll
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Vic Libs Can’t Afford to Play Coy
Playing hard-to-get on preferences with One Nation is delusional.
Dead Heat and the Kingmaker Has Already Put Her Land Tax on the Table
Hipkins and Luxon tied on 20 per cent, National and Labour on 34 seats each and Opportunity holding the balance. The kingmaker who won the debate had already said dropping her own tax reform was worth considering. Electorate vote National, party vote ACT or NZ First.
Winston Brought the Majority
NZ First is up to 12 per cent and 16 seats and that is what puts the coalition on 65. National’s party vote still buys no list MP. Electorate vote National, party vote ACT or NZ First.
One Point In Mt Albert
Spinoff-Curia has Helen White on 33 and Melissa Lee on 32 in Mt Albert. Eighteen votes decided it in 2023. ACT and NZ First should clear the field for Lee. Every National electorate win without a list seat is another box for Willis, Bishop and Goldsmith.
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Face of the Day
Danny Watson’s infectious energy made him a natural fit for radio – and he hosted Newstalk ZB’s Afternoons for 15 years from 2000 to 2015.