The Roy Morgan Poll: National’s Slide Continues, Minor Parties Surge and a Tight Race Looms
The coalition’s 49 per cent is a fragile foundation and a two to three per cent swing could hand the opposition the keys to power. Labour, despite its own challenges, is within striking distance, and a stumble by National – another policy misstep or leadership wobble – could prove fatal.
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National Sinks, Winston Holds and a Te Pāti Māori MP Ticks Green
Roy Morgan’s final poll has National on 26.5 per cent while NZ First and ACT hold firm. The left’s path runs through Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori’s own MP is party voting Green.
Two Final Polls Say Overhangs Decide It, and the Left Is Banking on One
The final 1News Verian and Taxpayers’ Union-Curia polls both say electorate seats will decide this election and the left is counting on Te Pāti Māori winning seats its party vote cannot earn. So much for overhangs being a dirty trick.
Winston Peters Is Carrying the Right on His Back.
A Freshwater Strategy deck published by the Platform shows National down 12 points since 2023 and NZ First holding the right bloc together. The numbers check out.
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Science Saturday
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Winston Peters On Public Meetings And Final Days Of Campaigning
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David Seymour On Leading ACT's Election Campaign
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