It Will Be Right on the Night
It is the right who will be popping the champagne corks on November 7th.
Election 2026
Quick Hit: What the Court Actually Said
The High Court struck down the puberty blocker ban on consultation and discrimination grounds. It also found the minister had a rational basis to act, made his own decision and did not act for an NZ First purpose.
The Most Important and Boring Election
Why New Zealanders seem strangely uninspired by one of the most important elections in years.
Paid For By You
John Minto posted photos of two visiting Israelis and told people to go and confront them. His party has $82,011 of your money to spend on broadcasting.
What Can We Read Into the TVNZ Poll?
Economic optimism does not decide elections. But it matters. Has National timed its run just right?
Quick Hit: An Overhang Is Not Cheating
Luxon and Hipkins both said engineering an overhang is cheating. The Electoral Commission says it is how MMP works, and parliament has had one in five of the last seven terms.
Two Votes, One Brain
National will hate it. It doesn’t want to be an electorate-only party. But frankly, until it rediscovers its principles, that is what it deserves.
The Right Is One Seat Short. Party Vote NZ First or ACT.
National jumped four points and Labour hit its lowest since 2023, yet the 1News-Verian seat maths leaves the right one seat short. A party on eight per cent and a party on 0.7 per cent now decide who governs.
Good Luck Chippie – You’ll Need It
Hipkins is on a hiding to nothing, even if he wins. He will not be able to control those in the other parties who will coerce, demand and threaten. He will be manipulated to high heaven. We could witness possibly the shortest premiership in our history, certainly in our lifetime.
Quick Hit: He Was Chairing It
Hipkins says he isn’t sure the Mob’s $2.75m ever went to cabinet. The Taxpayers’ Union says his own cabinet turned down a plan to stop gang contracts in July 2023, while he was prime minister.
The Left’s Only Road to 61 Runs Through a 5.4 Per Cent Party. Party Vote NZ First or ACT.
The Post/Freshwater poll has Labour 28.7, National 27.6 and the left reaching 61 only with Opportunity on 5.4 per cent. Electorate vote National, party vote NZ First or ACT.
You Don’t Even Have to Like Them
If you’re thinking about sitting this election out, I’d encourage you to give it some more thought.
If Welfarism Matters, the Choice Is Clear
In so much as employment is desirable, the left sees a major role for the state in provision and guarantee of work; the right largely sees provision of work as a role for the private sector. The first hampers the second.
It Is Bizarre, or Is It?
Under MMP, electorate seats are filled first. If National wins two extra electorates, then that is two list places gone. Who are two list candidates ahead of Goldsmith? Nicola Willis and Chris Bishop. Both possible challengers for the leadership.
Quick Hit: Silence Is Not a Right
National would make staying silent about a child’s killing a crime, with up to 10 years in prison. The Greens are open to it, ACT has doubts and Labour has yet to say on the record which silence it wants to protect.
The Cultural Capture of New Zealand
What is now clear is that with the left driving an agenda that could destroy democracy as we know it, the country needs ACT and New Zealand First to step up and pledge, that if they win the election, they will use their combined influence to remove race and culture completely from our statutes.